Predicting what goes viral |
爆款视频能被预测吗? |
www.i21st.cn |
BY wangxingwei from 21st Century Published 2020-08-05 |
![]() By studying our brain activity, scientists are able to predict what videos can go viral. TUCHONG
Whether it’s Chinese social media like Sina Weibo, or Western media like Instagram and Facebook, videos can go viral in mere hours. The wide range of viral videos suggests that popular concepts are largely random. After all, what links the recent broom challenge to funny internet cat videos? According to scientists from Stanford University, US, the virality of a video can be predicted by looking at how certain areas of a person’s brain are activated within the first few seconds of a video. This method has been called neuroforecasting. The team made the finding by recruiting 36 volunteers to watch a range of videos while being scanned with an fMRI – a machine that can detect the changes in blood oxygen and flow. Participants were shown 32 different videos and were monitored according to their brain responses in four different areas. The results showed that specific brain activity during the first four seconds of a video could effectively predict a person’s thoughts on a video and whether they would keep watching. Using the fMRI results, the Stanford team consistently saw increased activity in the nucleus accumbens and decreased activity in the anterior insula parts of the brain while the participants were watching the most popular of the 32-video selection. According to the study, these two brain regions are related to the feeling of anticipation we get when we’re not certain of something’s outcome. Stanford neuroscientist, and the study’s author, Brian Knutson, said: “If we examine our subjects’ choices to watch the video or even their reported responses to the videos, they don’t tell us about the general response online … Only brain activity seems to forecast a video’s popularity on the internet.” He added, “Future research might also systematically deconstruct” video content so content creators can use these findings to make their videos more popular. In the future, the team aims to use this type of fMRI experiment to understand “whether processes that generate individual choice can tell us something about choices made by large groups of people”. According to Knutson, this could apply to shopping trends, charity support and general money-spending. ![]() (Translator & Editor: Wang Xingwei AND Luo Sitian)
https://www.i21st.cn/story/3565.html |
辞海拾贝
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