北京时间3月2日21时，中国工程院院士钟南山在广州线上出席爱丁堡大学举办的“国际疫情防控专家研讨会”，与美国传染病学专家福奇连线对话。

在约一小时的视频会议中，双方就“对人类健康未来最大的担忧”、“疫情带来最重要的思考”、“一年后的预期”等问题，开展了多轮“同题问答”。对于疫情未来的走向，两位专家也给出了审慎乐观的判断。
图源：央视新闻

Leading Chinese respiratory disease expert Zhong Nanshan and top U.S. infectious disease expert Anthony Fauci exchanged their views  on the future global public health systems amid the raging COVID-19 pandemic in an online conversation hosted by the University of Edinburgh on Tuesday night Beijing time.

两位专家具体都谈了些什么呢？戳下方视频了解↓↓↓

针对众说纷纭的“群体免疫”，钟南山院士表示不能够用一些不科学、不人道的“自然免疫”手段达到群体免疫效果。随着疫苗的研发和陆续上市，“我觉得至少要有2-3年的时间才能世界范围内的群体免疫”。

Zhong believed that some unscientific, inhumane means of "natural immunity" should not be used to achieve herd immunity.

"With the development and marketing of vaccines, it will take at least two to three years to achieve herd immunity worldwide," said Zhong.
 

“我们正在对抗共同的敌人，面对的威胁是没有国界的。”钟南山指出，全世界想终止疫情，需要由每个国家的决策层基于科学、实际的证据进行恰当的决策，需要全球的团结和努力。

Novel coronavirus is an enemy of all mankind, said Zhong, “If we want to end this epidemic, we need appropriate science-based, evidence-based decisions by decision-makers in each country. Everyone should do their best. So we need global solidarity," Zhong said.

对于全球合作，福奇表示乐观，“之前全球合作也有成功例子，比如天花、脊髓灰质炎病毒以及麻疹。我们没有理由在新冠疫情上不合作，通过公共卫生合作措施以及科学应用等组合拳，在疫苗、治疗方法以及其他类型的干预措施等方面合作。”

"We have been successful in the past by global cooperation with smallpox, polio and measles. There is no reason in the world why we cannot do the same thing with COVID-19 by a combination of cooperative public health measures and the application of science to get interventions in the form of vaccines and therapies and other types of interventions," Fauci said.
 

福奇预测说，在一年之内，不可能让全世界的人都打上疫苗，“但我预测我们那时已经控制住疫情了，我们也许不能彻底消灭新冠病毒，但能够很好地控制住。这样我们就能逐步恢复正常生活。”

"I know we're not going to get the world vaccinated in one year, but I would hope that we suppress the dynamics of this outbreak to the point where it may not be eliminated, but it is under extraordinarily good control, so that there can be some steps towards normality," Fauci said.

钟南山院士不认为一年后能够根除疫情，仍有很多不可知因素，如病毒变异等，但一年后，所有的情况都会比现在好。“我们的方向是对的，大部分国家的病例正在减少，全世界的专家还需通力合作，开发出新药物、新抗体、新的更有效的疫苗，这些是我们恢复正常社会生活的前提。”

综合来源：中国日报 CGTN 中国新闻社 广州日报 科技日报